or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Please pass this post along. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. This includes personalizing content and advertising. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. An unimaginably long time. Now things start getting interesting. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Yet here we are. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. You get the volume of planet Earth. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. Wowser. Which one's bigger? Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. On one try. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. On one try. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. saving. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. That's 150,000 generations. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. But let's think about this some more. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. But let's think about this some more. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. So whats the probability of your existing? Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Step 4. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. I think that was exactly Msgr. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. But lets make it longer. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Thank you, Monsignor. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. A donut with no hole, is a Danish.

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